Sunday, January 28, 2018

Foreign Digest: Zimbabwe, Czech Republic, Russia


Zimbabwe
            The new President, who replaced longtime dictator Robert Mugabe, announced elections will be held by July.  However, the ruling party has a history of intolerance of freedom of dissent and of rigging elections. 

Update: Czech Republic
            The pro-Russian President narrowly won reelection over a pro-Western challenger, with support from the Russian FederationRussia orchestrated a smear campaign against the challenger while financially supporting the campaign manager for the incumbent.  Russia has been interfering in foreign elections and referendums throughout Europe and even in the United States presidential election of 2016.

Russia
           Thousands of protestors took the streets in several cities across Russia this weekend, attempting to exercise the freedom of peaceful assembly, which is not tolerated by Vladimir Putin’s regime.  Hundreds of demonstrators were arrested, including the opposition leader, Alexei Navalny, whom the dictatorship prohibited from participating in the presidential elections scheduled for this spring.  Some of the arrests even took place in raids targeting the opposition before the protests began.  The protests were in opposition to corruption and the loss of liberty, including the banning of Navalny.

Friday, January 26, 2018

Foreign Digest: Liberia, United Kingdom, Syria, Pacific Free Trade Zone, Venezuela, Czech Republic


Liberia
            The peaceful transition of power from one party to another was completed this week in Liberia, as power George Weah succeeded Ellen Johnson Sirleaf as Liberian President.  Johnson had been Liberia’s first democratically-elected president twelve years ago.

United Kingdom
            Following the establishment of an anti-disinformation committee by the European Union last week, the United Kingdom, which is exiting the EU by 2019, this week established its own task force to combat disinformation and fake news.

Syria
Syria’s Bashar Assad regime has again used chemical weapons against civilians, another report concluded this week.  Iran and Russia back the tyrannical Syrian regime, which is a state sponsor of terrorism. 

Pacific Free Trade Zone
            The eleven major Pacific states reached a free trade deal yesterday.  In the absence of the United States, after the Trump Administration withdrew from negotiations for a trans-pacific, the negotiations were led by Communist China.     

Venezuela
            The Supreme Court of Venezuela today barred the democratic opposition from participation in national legislative elections in April.

Czech Republic
           Presidential elections are being held in the Czech Republic today.  The pro-Russian president is being challenged by a pro-Western opponent.  There is Russian influence in the presidential elections on behalf of the   incumbent.

Sunday, January 21, 2018

Conservative Analysis of the First Year of the Presidential Administration of Donald Trump


           Yesterday was the first anniversary of the inauguration of Donald J. Trump as President of the United States.  His performance has been mixed, with some significant accomplishments and mostly minor ones, together with several harmful, non-conservative policies, as well as misbehavior with words and deeds that far outweigh the benefits of his administration and cause major damage to America, the Republican Party and the conservative movement.

            Trump’s major accomplishments have been the appointment of conservative judges and tax reform, the only major legislation he has signed into law, but even it was modest in its scope and of mixed benefit and harm.  He has continued the War on Terrorism policies of his predecessors, which have contributed to the prevention of any September 11-scale attack, among other standard foreign policies.  Overall, Trump’s beneficial policies are the sort any other Republican president might have accomplished, without all of his harmful policies and actions.  Some of his actions have been uniquely negative, both for a GOP president or any American president. They include abuses of the office, some of which are transforming the presidency into something constitutionally unrecognizable or are policies that are causing possibly irreparable harm both in terms of US standing in the world and its role as the leader of the free world.  Scandal, profiting from the presidency, white nationalism, authoritarianism and hostile foreign influence have been the hallmarks of the Trump Administration.

On the positive side of Trump’s defense and foreign policy, in addition to continuing the War on Terrorism, Trump launched a missile strike on Syria’s Bashar Assad regime for its use of chemical weapons.  The Trump Administration has continued the defense of freedom of the seas in South China Sea and prohibited federal use of a certain Russian anti-virus software that was a portal for espionage.  Economic sanctions or travel restrictions have been imposed on the rogue regimes of Iran, Venezuela, Cuba, Russia and North Korea and military aid cut off to Burma

            On the positive side of Trump’s domestic policies, in addition to the judicial appointments, are some minor pro-life regulations, deregulation, the extension of a program for private health care for veterans and the management reform of the Veterans Administration.  The tax reform legislation eliminated the individual mandate for health insurance of the federalization of health insurance known as “Obamacare,” cut business taxes and lowered many individual taxes by increasing the standard deduction in place of itemized deductions, thus simplifying the tax code, although some individuals’ taxes will be increased.  But it did not simplify the tax code in terms of reducing the number of brackets, nor did it achieve fairness in regard to the disparity between the lack of taxation of income in the form of employer-provided health insurance versus the purchase of health insurance with after-tax dollars for those whose employers do not provide health insurance.  The tax reform came at a price of a large increase in the federal debt.

On the negative side of the Trump Administration, in terms of defense and foreign policy, there has been a pattern of poor security, in terms of the lack of proper clearances for staff and even the hiring of a foreign agent as National Security Advisor, as well as the poor security at Trump’s Florida resort where he conducts official business, as well as intelligence leaks, including by Trump himself, including to the Russians.  Trump’s pro-Russian policies are evident in his withdrawal of support for non-Islamist Syrian rebels fighting Russia’s ally, his refusal to criticize or punish the Russian Federation for election interference and his failure to defend against further Russian election interference, his lack of criticism of other Russian transgressions around the world, his repetition of Russian propaganda and disinformation and his delay of congressional passage of the aforementioned additional sanctions on Russia, which he signed only in the face of near-unanimous support in Congress, and of their implementation.  Trump had attempted to lift other Russian sanctions.  His support of Russia’s authoritarian leader Vladimir Putin, the ex-Soviet intelligence officer, occurs in the context of Russian overt and covert support on behalf of Trump’s election, and is part of a pattern of anti-American rhetoric, such as making a false moral equivalence between the US and despotic regimes that commit atrocities, and support for foreign authoritarians generally, as well as un-American authoritarian rhetoric and domestic policies, such as his undermining of judicial independence, the rule of law and the freedom of the press.  Disturbing examples of Trump’s support for foreign authoritarians were his congratulation of the Turkish president for his victory in a constitutional referendum, not conducted in the context of freedom, which granted the “Sultan” even more authoritarian powers, and supposedly “pro-life” Trump’s praise of the Filipino President’s open policy of encouraging murder.  Between the pro-Russian and authoritarian rhetoric and policies, Trump has ceded American leadership of the free world by undermining the confidence of US allies, while dispiriting freedom-lovers around the world who look to America as a beacon of liberty.

On the negative side on trade, Trump withdrew from the Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations, thereby missing the opportunity to lower tariffs (taxes), and thereby increase freedom, which ceded economic leadership in the region to Communist China.  He has also launched a trade war by increasing tariffs on imports from friendly foreign states.  These policies make foreign states less likely to engage in trade negotiations with the US, which they now regard as an unreliable partner. 

On the negative side on travel and immigration, the Trump Administration’s expansive travel bans, abuses of the rights of refugees, asylum seekers, and even valid visa-holders, permanent residents and US citizens have led to a decrease in travel by foreigners to the US.  His mass deportations, which include non-criminals, are causing the breakup of families.  These policies are constitutionally suspect and are reflective of the influence of white nationalism on the Trump Administration, as they are directed particularly at non-Europeans.  Examples include Trump’s referral of white nationalists as “very fine people,” his praise of French presidential candidate Marine Le Pen’s nationalist policies, his promotion of a violent British white nationalist organization, pardon of white nationalist supporter Joseph Arpaio for contempt of court and funding cuts to an anti-nationalist hate program.

On the lack of constitutional fealty, in addition to Trump’s undermining of the rule of law, with his criticism that violates the independence of the judiciary and of law enforcement, and of the freedom of the press, with his threats of litigation and other rhetoric and practices, he has violated the foreign and domestic Emoluments Clauses of the Constitution because of his conflicts of interest, which he refused to reveal, as part of a pattern of a lack of transparency, which have allowed him to profit off the presidency and to receive patronage of his businesses foreign states in exchange for favorable policies.  These violations, which also are a practice of unfair competition with private enterprises, are violations also of the constitutional requirement to take care the laws be faithfully executed.  Trump’s businesses also profit from his charging of rent to his security detail.  He uses the presidency to advertise his businesses with his frequent and costly visits to his facilities and his staff has also engaged in this unethical practice.  On a related note, Trump unethically praises and denigrates other private enterprises, which is interference in the market. 

On the negative side of other domestic matters, Trump lies or misleads to an unprecedented degree, has made numerous unbecoming statements that coarsen public discourse and degrade culture, and promulgates conspiracy theories.  He has continued federal funding of Planned Parenthood, the largest provider of abortions in the world, while increasing the debt.  Trump has also continued Obamacare.  He delayed the waiver of the Jones Act, a costly mercantilist regulation, for Hurricane Maria relief to Puerto Rico and then allowed the waiver to expire after one week. 

Trump’s deception, nepotism, profiting off his office, lack of transparency, praise and denigration of private enterprises, and undermining of the independence of the judiciary, the rule of law and the freedom of the press are typical of authoritarian regimes and kleptocracies and are unprecedented to this degree in American presidential history.  Although some checks and balances and popular political pressure have prevented even worse abuses and harmful policies, these safeguards have not yet been adequately used. 

Trump’s presidency, whatever its positive accomplishments, is a threat to the Republic and to liberty in America and around the world because of his manifest unfitness, corruption, and lack of patriotism or respect for the Constitution, regardless of the question of the illegitimacy of his election through deception, intimidation and foreign influence.  His Administration is not conservative, but populist, protectionist, nativist, white nationalist, in favor of big government and authoritarian.  It is thus a mortal danger to the Republican Party and a cancer on the conservative movement, lest it be conflated with Trumpism, especially if most leading conservatives continue to acquiesce to Trumpism to the extent they already have.  It is time that Republicans and conservatives come to the aid of the United States of America and protect the Republic, their party and ideological movement by using constitutional safeguards and by beginning the process of legally ending the Trump presidency.

Foreign Digest: European Union, Italy and Germany


The European Union defends against fake news
The European Union has established an organization to defend against the promulgation of fake news.  The despotic Russian Federation regime of Vladimir Putin has been conducting a disinformation campaign against European states to influence their elections.

Italy: Russian influence on Italian political parties
            United States Senator Ben Cardin issued a comprehensive report last week on Russian interference in elections.  Included in his report was his expression of concern that some Italian political parties, such as the populist Five Star Movement and the far-right Northern League, who oppose sanctions on Russia for its invasion of Ukraine, are vulnerable to Russian influence.  Russian dissident Vladimir Kara-Murza warned last week on a trip to Italy of the ties between those two parties and the Putin regime of the Russian Federation.  Parliamentary elections are scheduled for March 4.  Russia typically supports such parties, overtly or covertly.

Update: Germany; the leading center-left agrees to a grand coalition with the center-right
           The German center-left socialist party today approved the grand coalition agreement with the ruling conservative bloc.  In Germany’s parliamentary elections in December, no party gained a majority of seats.  The ruling center-right bloc of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s Christian Democrats and her conservative Bavarian allies earned the most seats, but need to form a coalition in order to govern.  The coalition prevents far-right or far-left parties from joining the Government.

Freedom House Reports a Decline of Freedom for the Twelfth Straight Year; Russia, China and Donald Trump Are Cited


           The continued rise of authoritarianism has caused an increase in the number of people around the world who are not free to increase for the twelfth consecutive year, according to the latest report from Freedom House: https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world/freedom-world-2018

After a period of increased freedom, liberty is under its greatest threat in decades, with free and fair elections, the rule of law, the freedom of the press and minority rights are all under attack.

            The increased global influence of Communist Russia and China, and the withdrawal of American leadership for freedom, which has accelerated during the presidency of Donald Trump, are to blame, according to the report.  Russia undermines democracy abroad through interference in elections with disinformation, while China supports despotic regimes and makes demands on other countries, including the return of refugees.  Self-rule and freedom have also been diminished by the Chinese Communists in Hong Kong.  Both Russian and China regard representative government and liberty as a threat to their despotic regimes.

           A majority of countries in the world are unfree or partly free and a majority of the global population is not free.  There has been a decline in freedom in a majority of the 195 countries assessed since 2006.  The decline in freedom in Eastern Europe and even the United States under the Trump Administration noted by Freedom House is particularly alarming.

            Freedom House’s report observes that Turkey is no longer partly free, but is now not free.  Turkey had been a secular representative republic, but has become an authoritarian Islamist state.  The Turkish President has followed a similar model to that of Venezuela and Russia of democratically elected officials becoming increasingly authoritarian.  The democratically-elected Burmese Government has been a disappointment, as it has engaged in ethnic cleansing against its Muslim minority.  The report notes progress in a few countries: The Gambia, East Timor, Uganda, Ecuador and Nepal.  Although there was some regression in Tunisia because of the postponement of local elections and a concern about the influence of elements of the former oppressive regime, it remains the only free Arab state, with most being unfree and a few only partly free.  Syria is the most unfree state in the world.  The vast majority of the world’s unfree countries are in African and Asia, as Russia and Belarus in Europe and Cuba and Venezuela in the Americas are the only other unfree countries.  Communist and Islamist states, and especially countries in civil war, account for a large share of the tally of unfree countries and are among the least free countries.    

           It is essential to take immediate action to reverse the global trend toward authoritarianism.  When liberty is threatened anywhere, it is threatened everywhere.  Freedom is also in the interest to the entire world because it leads to peace and prosperity.   The United States must lead the world once again toward liberty, through a principled foreign policy and by defending itself from interference in its public discourse and its elections from foreign adversaries.  It must also serve again as a better example by maintaining its principles, such as the rule of law and the independence of the judiciary, freedom of the press and respect for the human rights of refugees and asylum seekers.  

Saturday, January 20, 2018

2018 March for Life: Love Saves Lives


           The 2018 March for Life was held yesterday in Washington, DC on the 45th anniversary of the United States Supreme Court’s 1973 Roe v. Wade decision that, together with the simultaneous Doe v. Bolton decision, violated States’ rights to defend the right to life by prohibiting abortions.

            Tens of thousands participated in the 45th annual March for Life.  Combined with the scores of local rallies in a majority of the States, a total of hundreds of thousands marched for life across the Union.  The March for Life is the largest pro-life rally in the world.  

           The theme this year was Love Saves Lives.  There was emphasis on healthy children who were born after doctors had urged abortions.  

           Legislation recently passed the House of Representatives to protect children born after botched abortions, but the bill’s fate is uncertain in the Senate.  Other continued areas of focus in advancing the right to life are defunding Planned Parenthood, which is the largest provider of abortions, prohibiting abortions of babies capable of feeling pain, and increased conscience protections for health care and health insurance providers.

Saturday, January 13, 2018

Update: German Center-Right and Center-Left Parties Agree to Form a Grand Coalition


The leading German parties have agreed to form a grand center-right/center-left coalition between the ruling conservative bloc, made up of Chancellor Angela Merkel’s center-right Christian Democrats and the Bavarian conservatives, and the main democratic socialist opposition party.

            The parties reached an agreement today on maintaining the current tax rates, restoring a regulation on health insurance that divides premiums equally between employers and employees, and on the quota on the acceptance of migrants.  The new government is expected to be in place by Easter.  The coalition will assure stability in Europe, as Germany is the wealthiest European state, especially within the European Union, of which Germany is the largest member.  In the parliamentary elections last month, the ruling conservatives won the most seats, but were short of a majority.  A left-right grand coalition previously ruled with Merkel as Chancellor. 

Left-right coalitions of various kinds have become common in Europe in recent years.  The United Kingdom had one, as do Greece and Italy currently.  

Germany is a member of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and is an ally of the United States also in the War on Terrorism.

Monday, January 8, 2018

A Conservative Won the Chilean Presidential Election


           A conservative won the Chilean presidential election last month, as a former President returns to power after four years of liberal rule.  Conservatives are now the largest party in both chambers of Chile’s Parliament, winning nearly a majority in both, at the expense of the left.

            The election of a conservative in Chile is part of a trend I have been posting about for more than a year, which is the rejection of the Socialist revolutionary trend of the 2000s that had been led by the late Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chavez that had spread widely throughout Latin America, especially in South America.  Since, then, voters in Argentina and Peru have replaced liberal governments with conservative ones, while the liberal President of Brazil was impeached and removed from office for corruption.  Note: her popular liberal predecessor has been convicted and was recently sentenced to prison for corruption.  Venezuelan and Bolivian voters have also made clear their rejection of socialism, authoritarianism and corruption, but their will has been thwarted by their leftist leaders.  After Venezuelans elected the democratic opposition to a supermajority of the Congress and Bolivians rejected a constitutional referendum to end presidential term limits, the Venezuelan dictator used a special constitutional provision to usurp the Congress and replace it with a rubber stamp assembly while the Bolivian Supreme Court ruled in favor of allowing the President to serve another term, despite the constitutional prohibition. 

           Chile, which has a free trade agreement with the United States, has long been one of Latin America’s most prosperous states.

Monday, January 1, 2018

Recent Attacks in Vietnam and Pennsylvania Were Not “Terrorism”


           There have been more incidents recently that have been called “terrorism” that did not meet the definition of terrorism as the violent targeting of innocent civilians in order to intimidate the populace to acquiesce the demands of the terrorists.  I have posted regularly about such occurrences. 

In Vietnam last week, an armed group was arrested for a bombing, as part of a plot to attack the airport.  The goal of the group was to liberate Vietnam from its Communist tyrants.  The dictatorship mislabeled the insurrection as “terrorism.”  In Harrisburg, Pennsylvania last weekend, there was an Islamist attack on Pennsylvania State Police officers, which authorities referred to as an “act of terror.”  It was an act of violent jihad that may have been inspired by terrorists, but was not itself an act of terrorism.  Both attacks targeted government, not innocent civilians and, therefore, could not generate mass terror among the populace sufficient to intimidate it into demanding the government acquiesce to the demands of the attackers. 

I have made a series of posts on the mislabeling of incidents as “terrorism” because the dilution of the word terrorism makes terrorism seem less evil than it is.  Other incidents may be evil, but not as evil as terrorism.  But another concern is that despotic regimes like Vietnam, Syria, Turkey, Russia and others expand the meaning of terrorism in order to put down not only any armed rebellions, but also to quash any dissent, as any supporters of liberation are labeled as supporters of “terrorists” and their free expression is criminalized.  Similarly, the dilution of terrorism helps terrorists and far-left liberals and isolationists who agree with the terrorists’ point to invalidate counterterrorism efforts by making a false equivalence between terrorism, which is a war crime, and legitimate self-defense.