Tuesday, December 2, 2008

Political Updates

Saxby Chambliss' U.S. Senate runoff reelection victory in Georgia gives Republicans at least 41 seats in the upper chamber of Congress -- enough to maintain filibusters against particularly objectionable policies of the liberal Democratic majority. In other words, the Democrats will not have total control of Congress because 60 votes are required to break a filibuster and pass legislation. Chambliss benefited from campaign appearances from John McCain and Sara Palin, while Barak Obama cut a radio ad and allowed his voice to be used on automated phone calls for Chambliss' Democratic opponent, who tied himself to Obama, which has to be a consolation for both members of the Republican presidential ticket. The GOP victory could be a political harbinger, as a similar victory by a Republican candidate in Georgia after Bill Clinton's victory in 1992 heralded the Republican takeover of Congress two years later.


Chambliss' victory also minimizes the significance of the disputed Senate election in Minnesota, where Republican Norm Coleman is clinging to a miniscule lead over Democratic challenger Al Franken. It also makes it less likely that the Democratic Senate majority will take up Franken's election challenge and decide the issue itself.

Indeed, Obama's moderate cabinet selections reflect more continuity than change, which validates my point that the election was more about personality and a referendum on Bush than for changing everything, such as the many popular policies of the Bush Administration that even most Democrats like Obama voted for. Also, a poll commissioned by the operator of the website http://www.howobamagotelected.com/ proves my point that many Obama voters were ignorant of issues -- and even of which party controlled Congress. Interestingly, the poll also demonstrates that Fox News viewers and talk radio listeners (i.e. people who listen to media not dominated by liberals) were the most informed voters on the issues.

Another piece of political good news is that Obama's appointment of Arizona Governor Janet Napolitano to his cabinet means that a Republican will take over as governor of that state. After the elections last month, the GOP was set to hold 21 gubernatorial offices, a net loss of only one, which is better than the 17 it held after Clinton's election.

Pennsylvania Update

The election results have now been certified in Pennsylvania. The McCain-Palin ticket's slate of electors (see how I worded that phrase!) received 10.1% fewer votes than the Obama-Biden ticket, which is better than the 10.4% that RealClearPolitics.com lists on its homepage. That usually reliable website has not updated the results because -- like many in the media -- it probably assumes that 100% precincts reporting includes all the vote, but in fact it does not include absentee and provisional ballots. Some other states tally votes like Pennsylvania. As Republican candidates tend to do better with absentee voters, the total margin of victory for Obama-Biden of 7% might actually be lower, although some states do not bother to tally absentees if the margin is not close (a point that should have been emphasized during the disputed election of 2000 when the Democrats' constant refrain was "count the votes" and that Gore had supposedly won the popular vote by hundreds of thousands of votes). Nevertheless, the Obama-Biden victory of over 600,000 votes in the Keystone State was substantial by Pennsylvania standards.

However, even though the Pennsylvania Republicans also lost one U.S. House seat and two state house seats, not all the news was bad for the Pennsylvania GOP. Republican Attorney General Tom Corbit was reelected, which means he will be able to continue his probe of public corruption in the General Assembly (Note: Republicans have won this office every time since it became an elected office). Also, Republicans picked up a state Senate seat, and will control that chamber 29-20 until a likely Republican special election victory for the seat of a posthumously-victorious Republican senator who died before his name could be removed from the ballot. His district includes part of my home county of Berks. A victory here would make the GOP margin 30-20.

The recent passing of Pennsylvania's Democratic Lieutenant Governor elevates Republican State Senate President Pro Tempore Joe Scarnati to that office simultaneously. The significance politically is probably limited to control of the Board of Pardons, as tie-breaking votes will likely not be necessary in the heavily-Republican chamber. However, it made it unlikely that Democratic Governor Edward Rendell would accept any appointment to the incoming Obama Administration, lest Scarnati accede to the gubernatorial office.

I am personally proud of Lieutenant Governor Scarnati. When he ran as an independent against a corrupt Republican incumbent senator, his local Republican Party backed him, and his supporters from his district who were members of the Republican State Committee informed the committee's Central Caucus of his intention to rejoin the Republican Party if elected. As a State Committee member of that caucus at the time, I asked the Scarnati supporters if they would like the caucus -- the largest in the state -- to endorse his candidacy. They did and my motion to endorse him passed without opposition, for which they expressed their gratitude to me after the meeting.







2 comments:

The Definitive Word said...

I change to this post I made apparently did not get saved before posting: See the Pennsylvania General Election returns at the website of the Pennsylvania Department of State (www.electionreturns.state.pa.us).

Chevalier Family said...

My worry at the present is the Freedom of Choice Act [FOC] which President-Elect Obama promised Planned Parenthood he would sign as one of his first acts a President. This would negate all State Laws in existence which protect and defend the right of an unborn to live. This will also force Catholic hospitals to have abortion and Pro-Life people to contribute to abortion through taxes. I have written to both President-Elect Obama as well as Illinois Senators and Congresspersons. Only the Illinois Senator, Richard Durbin responded, with his continued support of the FOC. He did, however, say he would consider my opinions on the matter--something I'm sure he will not do. As a native of PA, I also wrote to Senator Bob Casey and U. S. Rep. Tim Holden to vote against the FOC. To this date I did not receive a response. I hope this New Year 2009 will bring an end to the holocaust of abortion.--Brother Warren Perrotto, MSC