Wednesday, August 5, 2020

Conservative Analysis of the 2020 Pennsylvania Primary Election


           Pennsylvania conducted its 2020 Primary on June 2, despite the continued novel coronavirus pandemic, which had delayed it six weeks and limited the availability of poll workers and polling places, with the additional challenges of avoiding contagion and civil strife while implementing new voting machines in some Counties and the implementation of the Commonwealth’s new election law, including the timely no-excuse balloting option. 

            Certification of the results by county and state election officials took a week longer than usual because of the mail-in ballots.  The Commonwealth and the media still have not reported complete statewide results that include write-in vote totals, but because the results are available from Counties, a thorough analysis is possible.   

Primary elections are always important because they cause the names of the major party candidates to appear on the ballot for the General Election, and often the winner of the Primary is all-but-certain to be elected.  There are also in even-numbered years the elections of party officials.  Sometimes, there are ballot questions that are binding referendums in the Primary.  But this year, the Primary was also a rehearsal for the General Election.  The election was conducted fairly smoothly, but there were some problems.  The lessons learned should lead to improvements then.  A report published today that had been required by the General Assembly suggested amendments to the new voting law.

            More Counties used new voting machines for the first time because of state and federal funds for cybersecurity.  These machines are less vulnerable to hacking, as recommended by the United States Department of Homeland Security because of Russian hacking of election systems in Pennsylvania and across the Union.  No-excuse absentee balloting was implemented for the first time after Commonwealth’s new election law went into effect.  Because of the pandemic, many voters took advantage of the opportunity.  Six Counties received extensions from the Governor and another from a judge to count ballots postmarked by June 2, instead of received by then, because of postal delivery delays, although a limit of one week for the receipt of the ballots was imposed.  Ballots could also be dropped off at County Election Services offices, but voters were obligated thereby to drive downtown, possibly pay for parking and walk in a crowded downtown amidst a contagion.  Some Counties made drop boxes available, but security concerns were raised, prompting the Trump Campaign and some Republicans in western Pennsylvania have sued the Commonwealth and some Counties after the election.  Apart from voters who applied online, between mailing applications for absentee ballots to voters, voters mailing them back, mailing ballots to voters and mailing them back, tens of thousands of voters who did mail in their ballots were disenfranchised by their late delivery, despite the extensions.  Therefore, my concern about mail-in voting that I raised in posts last year after the law was approved was validated. 

There must be more federal funding to protect election systems, Counties should make drop boxes more available, safe and secure to cast ballots in and their availability more publicized, and the Commonwealth should accept mail-in ballots by the post-mark date, as the state’s post-election report suggests, with a sufficient period for receipt, such as the Friday post-election, which the report suggests.  The state report also suggests mandating Counties to send out mail-in ballots earlier than the current two weeks and allowing Counties to start as much pre-canvassing preparation as possible ahead of time, and allowing them more flexibility in hiring poll workers.

            With the election results delayed, the professional media held off on its usual practice of “calling” winners of elections immediately and sometimes prematurely, as if they have authority to decide the outcome, as it took days for most of the ballots to be counted because of the large number of no-excuse absentee ballots.

            Despite the disruption of the pandemic, the withdrawal of the only major candidate whose name was on the GOP ballot, the appearance of the name on the ballot of only one minor candidate, and the endorsement by the National and State Republican Committees, Donald Trump still lost more than 100,000 votes for the GOP presidential nomination, or nearly 10% of the votes of Republicans—more than twice the level of intra-party opposition he claims across the Union.  Many other Republicans have changed their voter registration since 2016.

            U.S. Representative Brian Fitzpatrick of Pennsylvania defeated a Trumpist (populist, protectionist, isolationist, nativist and authoritarian) opponent in the Republican Primary, although the 3:2 vote margin was closer than usual for an incumbent.  Fitzpatrick had an independent, bipartisan anti-Trump record, but voted against impeachment of Trump on the grounds of wanting a criminal investigation first, even though impeachment is not necessarily about criminal violations and Trump has argued in court that he is immune from criminal investigations.  That as many Republican voters still voted against Fitzpatrick shows how there is never enough loyalty to Trump for them, as many Republican primaries across America have become contests of who is the most Trumpist.

           Voters in the City of Reading approved all five of the amendments to the Home Rule Charter that were proposed by the Charter Review Commission I chaired.  The 2019—2020 Commission was only the third since the Charter that has been in effect since 1996.  It was the first time all of a Commission’s proposed amendments were approved.  They are among the most significant reforms to City governance since the Charter was approved, as they strengthen the Separation of Powers and the independence of the City Auditor, for example.

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