Sunday, November 20, 2022

Update on the Conservative Analysis of the 2022 General Election

As more votes are counted, I can update the conservative analysis of the 2022 General Election I posted about last week. The one incumbent Anti-Trump Republican United States Senator on the ballot, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, is leading her contest. For the U.S. House of Representatives, Republicans won a narrow majority, less than typical for a midterm election and less than expected considering the challenge of inflation, for which they exaggerated the blame on the Democratic President. Just as extreme Trumpists will have leverage over the GOP House caucus, the small number of non-Trumpist Republicans will, too. The far Left will have similarly disproportionate influence on the Democratic caucus. Republicans fared better in gubernatorial races, but Democrats made gains in other States across the American. A Trumpist gubernatorial nominee in Maryland lost, despite the popularity of the non-Trumpist term-limited Republican incumbent. In Pennsylvania, Democrats not only retained the office of Governor, but won control of the State House of Representatives for the first time in more than ten years, while gaining a seat in the Senate, where the GOP still holds the majority. Republicans were weighed down by an arch-Trumpist gubernatorial ticket at the top of the GOP ballot. There was an additional referendum result favorable for conservatives: Tennessee rejected forced union membership. The mixed results of the elections for offices, and the often close results thereof, as well as for referendums, suggest there is continues to be division among Americans, with both parties competitive when they offer qualified candidates. Conservative ideas and candidates are not necessarily being rejected by the American voters, but Trumpist (populist, protectionist, nativist and isolationist) conspiracy theorists and candidates who are against reasonable protections for public health clearly are being rejected.

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