The United
Kingdom asked last week for a delay of a few
months of its departure from the European Union, currently scheduled for March
29, under EU rules and based upon the timing of the British request for leaving
after the June 2016 referendum result in favor of exiting the EU.
Parliament
seized control of the voting agenda through the passage of a motion and is
considering a range of alternative options, from not leaving the EU to leaving
with a customs union or some arrangement like certain non-EU member have with
the EU to leaving without a deal.
The Conservative Prime Minister, Theresa
May, who rules in coalition with a small Unionist Northern Irish party, had
negotiated a deal over the last two years with the EU to leave the
organization, but Parliament has twice rejected it overwhelmingly over the last
few months. Without an agreement, the UK would leave the EU without any deal,
including any trade relations or customs agreement, an arrangement for British
expatriates in EU States or EU expatriates in the UK,
a fishing agreement, or a border with Northern
Ireland or one between Gibraltar and Spain. An agreement for an indefinite delay of the
implementation of the Irish border is the most controversial part of the deal,
especially with the junior coalition partner.
A lack of a border is an essential component of the Northern Ireland
peace accords, but an exit from the EU would necessitate one, for which there
is currently no infrastructure, let alone an agreement for the movement of
peoples. The UK has obtained some clarifications
from the EU on the interpretation of the provision and its timing, but the
indefinite nature of it remains. The EU
has refused to renegotiate its deal with the UK.
May insists her deal is the best option, one that remains faithful to
the referendum to leave the EU.
All 27 of the other members of the
EU must agree to the delay for it to be granted. There is willingness for a delay of various
lengths, complicated by the deadline for British participation in EU
parliamentary elections, but some States are insisting on the condition of British
Parliamentary approval of the deal first.
Approval remains uncertain.
In the UK, massive protests and popular
petitions in favor of remaining in the EU have been made, but the British
Government is rejecting remaining in the EU, in accordance with the referendum
and Parliament’s subsequent ratification of it.
There were also anti-leave protests in Spain last week.
The EU, which created a free trade
zone and allowed the free movement of peoples internally, gradually evolved
into a transnational government. The UK, which had
opted not to join its common currency, negotiated a deal under Conservative
Prime Minister David Cameron with the EU to claw back some of its sovereignty,
but the referendum to leave was approved instead.
The UK and member EU States have been
making contingency plans for a British exit without any deal.