Now that the implementation of the individual mandate of the
federalization of health insurance has begun, a better perspective on the
bipartisan, bicameral fiscal compromise reached last month between the United States
Congress and President Barack Obama can be observable.
The deal authorizes federal spending, including to implement the plan, by extending the
continuing resolution that funds the federal government, thereby ending the
partial shutdown. It also increases the
debt ceiling, which allows the government to borrow more to fund its current
deficit-spending.
The impasse had saved conservatives
in Congress from having to vote to fund the health insurance plan, to which
they object on both moral and fiscal grounds, but politically, because they
were unfairly blamed for the shutdown, the deal was a loss for the Republicans. See also my post from last month, Federal
Government Shutdowns are Partial, Routine and Bipartisan, http://williamcinfici.blogspot.com/2013/10/federal-government-shutdowns-are.html. Despite criticisms by liberal politicians,
the media and others that the shutdown would be fiscally costly, it has been
attributable for a lower than projected deficit for October, which is a fiscal
consolation for conservatives. Most congressional
conservatives did not vote in favor of the deal, thereby maintaining their
principles.
In terms of policy, however, the
deal was partly successful for conservative Republicans, despite the compromise
on terms largely favorable to the liberal Democrats. Although the Republicans, who control only
the House of Representatives, had hoped to achieve much more, such as spending
cuts to offset the increase in the debt ceiling or to defund Obama’s health
insurance plan or to make other changes to the plan to federalize health
insurance, such as eliminating the Legislative Branch’s self-exemption from the
plan, the GOP did gain one concession: protections against fraudulent
applications for one of the plan’s programs, which had been completely absent
in the plan. Without the protections,
more and more people would easily become dependents on government, whether they
were poor or not. At least the spending
will not increase as much as it otherwise would have because of the solitary
concession won by conservatives.
The concession is significant not
only because it will save money and limit the expansion of government, but
because Obama had insisted on no preconditions, especially in regard to his
health insurance plan, to his demands of continuing to fund the federal
government without reducing spending and raising the debt ceiling. In this sense, he lost on principal, as the
Republicans were able to salvage the congressional leverage inherent in the
requirement of congressional approval of increases in the debt ceiling, which Democrats
sought to end by allowing the debt to increase by executive will. Therefore, while the Republicans made a
compromise from a position of weakness that appeared to have gained them little
at a high political cost, as they conceded the larger matters of the deficit,
debt and health insurance, they did not cave on principal, in contrast to the
Democrats, despite the stronger position of the latter.
Furthermore, the Democrats, too,
had hoped to achieve even more, such as ending the federal sequestration that
has helped reduce the deficit significantly.
Moreover, any deal that includes any spending cuts without raising taxes,
as some liberal Democrats had sought, is at least a philosophical victory for
conservatism, even if the deal increases spending overall. In this case, it is important to remember
that spending would have increased and the debt had been raised anyway had
conservatives not objected in the first place and opposed funding the federal
government without spending reductions or reforms to the health insurance plan.
The implementation of the
federalization of health insurance had begun at the time of the federal
shutdown and the fiscal deal. Although
conservatives had hoped to use the fiscal controversy as a means to draw attention
to problems inherent with the plan, in some ways the fiscal crisis distracted
public attention from the problems initially, some of which would only become
more apparent afterward. Now that these
problems have become obvious to everyone, the Democrats are the ones who are
suffering politically more than the GOP.
Indeed, conservatives who made their objections to “Obamacare” central
in the fiscal controversy have already been vindicated, as the public can now
see more clearly why they had warned about the problems of the plan.
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